Use of statistical analysis, data mining, decision analysis and cost effectiveness analysis to analyze medical data : application to comparative effectiveness of lumpectomy and mastectomy for breast cancer.

Statistical models have been the first choice for comparative effectiveness in clinical research. Though effective, these models are limited when the data to be analyzed do not fit the assumed distributions; which is mostly the case when the study is not a clinical trial. In this project, data mining, decision analysis and cost effectiveness analysis methods were used to supplement statistical models in comparing lumpectomy to mastectomy for surgical treatment of breast cancer. Mastectomy has been the gold standard for breast cancer treatment for since the 1800s. In the 20th century, an equivalence of mastectomy and lumpectomy was established in terms of long-term survival and disease free survival. However, short term comparative effectiveness in post-operative outcomes has not been fully explored. Studies using administrative data are lacking and no study has used new technologies of self-expression, particularly the internet discussion board. In this study, data used were from the Nationwide Inpatient Sample (NIS) 2005, the Thomson Reuter\u27s MarketScan 2000 - 2001, the medical literature on clinical trials and online individuals\u27 posts in discussion boards on breastcancer.org. The NIS was used to compare lumpectomy to mastectomy in terms of hospital length of stay, total charges and in-hospital death at the time of surgery. MarketScan data was used to evaluate the comparative follow-up outcomes in terms of risk of repeat hospitalization, risk of repeat operation, number of outpatient services, number of prescribed medications, length of stay, and total charges per post-operative hospital admission on a period of eight months average. The MarketScan was also used to construct a simple post-operative hospital admission predictive model and to perform short-term cost-effectiveness analysis. The medical literature was used to analyze long term -10 years- mortality and recurrence for both treatments. The web postings were used to evaluate the comparative cost to improve quality of life in terms of patient satisfaction. In NIS and MarketScan data, International Classification of Disease, 9th revision, Clinical Modification (lCD-9-CM) diagnosis codes were used to extract cases of breast cancer; and ICD-9-CM procedure codes and Current Procedural Terminology, 4th edition procedure codes were used to form groups of treatment. Data were pre-processed and prepared for analysis using data mining techniques such as clustering, sampling and text mining. To clean the data for statistical models, some continuous variables were normalized using methods such as logarithmic transformation. Statistical models such as linear regression, generalized linear models, logistic and proportional hazard (Cox) regressions were used to compare post-operative outcomes of lumpectomy versus mastectomy. Neural networks, decision tree and logistic regression predictive modeling techniques were compared to create a simple predictive model predicting 90-day post-operative hospital re-admission. Cost and effectiveness were compared with the Incremental Cost Effectiveness Ratio (ICER). A simple method to process and analyze online po stings was created and used for patients\u27 input in the comparison of lumpectomy to mastectomy. All statistical analyses were performed in SAS 9.2. Data Mining was performed in SAS Enterprise Miner (EM) 6.1 and SAS Text Miner. Decision analysis and Cost Effectiveness Analysis were performed in TreeAge Pro 2011. A simple comparison of the two procedures using the NIS 2005, a discharge-level data, showed that in general, a lumpectomy surgery is associated with a significantly longer stay and more charges on average. From the MarketScan data, a person-level data where a patient can be followed longitudinally, it was found that for the initial hospitalization, patients who underwent mastectomy had a non-significant longer hospital stay and significantly lower charges. The post-operative number of outpatient services, prescribed medications as well as length of stay and charges for post-operative hospital admissions were not statistically significant. Using the MarketScan data, it was also found that the best model to predict 90-day post-operative hospital admission was logistic regression. A logistic regression revealed that the risk of a hospital re-admission within 90 days after surgery was 65% for a patient who underwent lumpectomy and 48% for a patient who underwent mastectomy. A cost effectiveness analysis using Markov models for up to 100 days after surgery showed that having lumpectomy saved hospital related costs every day with a minimum saving of $33 on day 10. In terms of long-term outcomes, the use of decision analysis methods on the literature review data revealed that, 10-years after surgery, 739 recurrences and 84 deaths were prevented among 10,000 women who had mastectomy instead of lumpectomy. Factoring patients\u27 preferences in the comparison of the two procedures, it was found that patients who undergo lumpectomy are non-significantly more satisfied than their peers who undergo mastectomy. In terms of cost, it was found that lumpectomy saves$517 for each satisfied individual in comparison to mastectomy. In conclusion, the current project showed how to use data mining, decision analysis and cost effectiveness methods to supplement statistical analysis when using real world nonclinical trial data for a more complete analysis. The application of this combination of methods on the comparative effectiveness of lumpectomy and mastectomy showed that in terms of cost and patients\u27 quality of life measured as satisfaction, lumpectomy was found to be the better choice

Determining the most effective way in which to manage congestive heart failure patients.

Background: CHF is a chronic disease that affects nearly five million people each year; in which at least 500,000 are newly diagnosed cases. Patients diagnosed with this disease will be under a physician\u27s care for the remainder of their life. It is of great importance that the strategy, used to manage these patients, maximizes their health outcomes in a cost effective manner. Objective: The objective of the current analysis is to compare the health outcomes with the available CHF management methods: the \u27Case Management\u27 (CM), the \u27Self Management\u27 (SM) and the current \u27Standard of Care\u27 (SC). Also, this study aims to identify the optimal management programs for CHF patients. Data: Data used are from a multicenter clinical trial funded by the AHRQ. The trial enrolled 134 patients randomized to three study arms representing the three management methods. These participants were followed for 12 months. Statistical methods: To describe the distributions of the outcome variables, summary statistics were used. For the inferential statistics, comparisons of means across the study arms were performed using ANOVA techniques and comparisons of proportions were performed using Logistic Regression models. Survival analysis techniques, Kaplan Meier curves and Cox Regression, were used to compare the group effect in delaying the timing until the first hospitalization. Results: Throughout the trial, the SC arm was represented with better outcomes for all the outcomes of interest. On average, patients in the SC arm had more hospital free days (335 ± 72), shorter in-hospital length of stay (4 ± 13), fewer hospitalizations (1± 2) and a longer time delay for first hospitalization (139 ± 118) in comparison to the patients in the CM and SM arms. However, the differences were not statistically significant (p-value \u3e 0.05). Conclusion: The results from the current study did not establish if one management program had significantly better outcomes when compared to the other two

All-Cause and Opioid-Related Mortality Compared between Traumatic Spinal Cord Injury and the US General Population

Individuals with spinal cord injury (SCI) are susceptible to the misuse of opioids due to the introduction of these substances for pain management. There are very few studies examining the relationship between unintentional deaths caused by opioid usage following spinal cord injury. The objective of this study was to evaluate the trend of opioid-related mortality of individuals with spinal cord injury (SCI) over the years and compare these findings to the mortality rates due to opioid misuse in the general population. In this study, we used data provided by the National Spinal Cord Injury Model Systems (NSCIMS) for SCI 1999-2016 and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (CDC WONDER) for the United States (US) general population. Using the codes for poisoning due opioids, we analyzed and graphed the rates of opioid-related mortality and the related percent of total deaths for SCI as compared to the US general population. The all-cause mortality rate and opioid-related mortality in individuals with SCI was significantly higher for SCI than the rate in the US general population. However, despite the higher opioid-related mortality rates in the SCI model systems sample when compared to the US general population, the percentage of total deaths due to opioid misuse among individuals with SCI was lower than its percentage of total deaths in the US general population. Our results suggest that opioid usage places individuals with SCI at a much higher risk for opioid-related mortality, and drug misuse is becoming more popular among the general population. Overall, evaluating these trends can provide insight into safer pain management strategies for SCI and highlights the need to implement better preventative measures for the risks associated with prescribing these substances

Muscle Activation Patterns During Movement Attempts in Children With Acquired Spinal Cord Injury: Neurophysiological Assessment of Residual Motor Function Below the Level of Lesion.

Introduction: Characterization of residual neuromotor capacity after spinal cord injury (SCI) is challenging. The current gold standard for measurement of sensorimotor function after SCI, the International Society for Neurological Classification of Spinal Cord Injury (ISNCSCI) exam, seeks to determine isolated intentional muscle activation, however many individuals with SCI exhibit intentional movements and muscle activation patterns which are not confined to specific joint or muscle. Further, isolated muscle activation is a feature of the neuromuscular system that emerges during development, and thus may not be an appropriate measurement standard for children younger than 6. Methods: We utilized neurophysiological assessment methodology, long studied in adult SCI populations, to evaluate residual neuromotor capacity in 24 children with SCI, as well as 19 typically developing (TD) children. Surface electromyography (EMG) signals were recorded from 11 muscles bilaterally, representing spinal motor output from all regions (i.e., cervical, thoracic, and lumbosacral), during standardized movement attempts. EMG records were subjectively analyzed based on spatiotemporal muscle activation characteristics, while the voluntary response index (VRI) was utilized for objective analysis of unilateral leg movement tasks. Results: Evidence of intentional leg muscle activation below the level of lesion was found in 11/24 children with SCI, and was classified based on activation pattern. Trace activation, bilateral (generalized) activation, and unilateral or isolated activation occurred in 32, 49, and 8% of movement tasks, respectively. Similarly, VRI analyses objectively identified significant differences between TD and SCI children in both magnitude (p \u3c 0.01) and similarity index (p \u3c 0.05) for all unilateral leg movement tasks. Activation of the erector spinae muscles, recorded at the T10–T12 vertebral level, was observed in all children with SCI, regardless of injury level or severity. Conclusions: Residual descending influence on spinal motor circuits may be present after SCI in children. Assessment of multi-muscle activation patterns during intentional movement attempts can provide objective evidence of the presence and extent of such residual muscle activation, and may provide an indicator of motor recovery potential following injury. The presence of residual intentional muscle activation has important implications for rehabilitation following pediatric-onset SCI

Comparison of Vertebroplasty, Kyphoplasty, and Nonsurgical Management of Vertebral Compression Fractures and Impact on US Healthcare Resource Utilization

Study DesignRetrospective propensity score-matched cohort analysis of the Thomson Reuters MarketScan database.PurposeTo compare the outcomes of vertebral compression fracture (VCF) treatment options, with an emphasis on reoperation, complications, costand overall healthcare resource use between 2005 and 2009 in the United States.Overview of LiteratureOptions for the treatment of VCFs include conservative management, kyphoplasty, and vertebroplasty. The cost-effectiveness of surgical intervention for VCF has been criticized, and some suggest their outcomes to be similar to placebo.MethodsPatients 18 years of age and older who developed a VCF were identified and separated into three treatment cohorts: vertebroplasty, kyphoplasty, and non-surgical. Propensity score matching was performed to match patients between cohorts. Main outcomes assessed included reoperation, complications, healthcare resource use and associated cost. Outcomes were compared at three separate time intervals (patients at index hospitalization; patients with at least 2-year follow-up data; and those with at least 4-year follow-up data).ResultsTwenty thousand seven hundred forty patients were identified with VCFs, yielding 7,290 after propensity score matching. The mean age of the patients was 78±12 years; and 5,507 (75.5%) were female. All reoperation rates ranged from 6%-17%, while complication rates ranged from 7%-10%, which did not differ significantly among the three cohorts at all follow-up periods. Overall costs were noted to be significantly greater in both the kyphoplasty and vertebroplasty groups at 1-year follow-up, not at 2-year and 4-year follow-up.ConclusionsOur data suggests that the treatment of a VCF patient will likely be associated with similar long-term operative and complication rates regardless of treatment modality

Mortality in ASIA Impairment Scale grade A to D Patients With Odontoid Fracture and Magnetic Resonance Imaging Evidence of Spinal Cord Injury

Odontoid fractures are common, often presenting in the elderly after a fall and infrequently associated with traumatic spinal cord injury (tSCI). The goal of this study was to analyze predictors of mortality and neurological outcome when odontoid fractures were associated with signal change on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) at admission. Over an 18-year period (2001-2019), 33 patients with odontoid fractures and documented tSCI on MRI were identified. Mean age was 65.3 years (standard deviation [SD] = 17.2), and 21 patients were male. The mechanism of injury was falls in 25 patients, motor vehicle accidents in 5, and other causes in 3. Mean Injury Severity Score (ISS) was 40.5 (SD = 30.2), Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score was 13 (SD = 3.4), and American Spinal Injury Association (ASIA) motor score (AMS) was 51.6 (SD = 42.7). ASIA Impairment Scale (AIS) grade was A, B, C, and D in 9, 2, 3, and 19 patients, respectively. Mean intramedullary lesion length was 32.3 mm (SD = 18.6). The odontoid peg was displaced ventral or dorsal in 15 patients. Twenty patients had surgical intervention: anterior odontoid screw fixation in 7 and posterior spinal fusion in 13. Eleven (33.3%) patients died in this series: withdrawal of medical care in 5; anoxic brain injury in 4; and failure of critical care management in 2. Univariate logistic regression indicated that GCS score (p\u3c0.014), AMS (p\u3c0.002), AIS grade (p\u3c0.002), and ISS (p\u3c0.009) were risk factors for mortality. Multi-variate regression analysis indicated that only AMS (p\u3c0.002) had a significant relationship with mortality when odontoid fracture was associated with tSCI (odds ratio, 0.963; 95% confidence interval, 0.941–0.986)

Spine Surgery Outcomes in Elderly Patients Versus General Adult Patients in the United States: A MarketScan Analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To compare spine surgery outcomes in elderly patients (80-103 years old) versus general adult patients (18-79 years-old) in the United States. METHODS: Truven Health Analytics MarketScan Research Databases (2000-2012) were queried. Patients with a diagnosis of degenerative disease of the spine without concurrent spinal stenosis, spinal stenosis without concurrent degenerative disease, or degenerative disease with concurrent spinal stenosis and who had undergone decompression without fusion, fusion without decompression, or decompression with fusion procedures were included. Indirect outcome measures included length of stay, in-hospital mortality, in-hospital and 30-day complications, and discharge disposition. RESULTS: Patients (N = 155,720) were divided into elderly (n = 10,232; 6.57%) and general adult (n = 145,488; 93.4%) populations. Mean length of stay was longer in elderly patients versus general adult patients (3.62 days vs. 3.11 days; P \u3c 0.0001). In-hospital mortality was more common in elderly patients versus general adult patients (0.31% vs. 0.06%; P \u3c 0.0001). In-hospital and 30-day complications were more common in elderly patients versus general adult patients (11.3% vs. 7.15% and 17.8% vs. 12.6%; P \u3c 0.0001). Nonroutine discharge was more common in elderly patients versus general adult patients (33.7% vs. 16.2%; P \u3c 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Our results revealed significantly longer hospital stays, more in-hospital mortalities, and more in-hospital and 30-day complications after decompression without fusion, fusion without decompression, or decompression with fusion procedures in elderly patients

Contribution of Trunk Muscles to Upright Sitting with Segmental Support in Children with Spinal Cord Injury

To investigate and compare trunk control and muscle activation during uncompensated sitting in children with and without spinal cord injury (SCI). Static sitting trunk control in ten typically developing (TD) children (5 females, 5 males, mean (SD) age of 6 (2)y) and 26 children with SCI (9 females, 17 males, 5(2)y) was assessed and compared using the Segmental Assessment of Trunk Control (SATCo) test while recording surface electromyography (EMG) from trunk muscles. The SCI group scored significantly lower on the SATCo compared to the TD group. The SCI group produced significantly higher thoracic-paraspinal activation at the lower-ribs, and, below-ribs support levels, and rectus-abdominus activation at below-ribs, pelvis, and no-support levels than the TD group. The SCI group produced significantly higher lumbar-paraspinal activation at inferior-scapula and no-support levels. Children with SCI demonstrated impaired trunk control with the ability to activate trunk muscles above and below the injury level